What to do in Frederick now
Frederick is in cool-season grass country. Dates are typical for this spot, worked out from 23 years of weather at Hagerstown Regional Airport; each status uses this year's soil estimates.
Cool-season: tall fescue, Kentucky bluegrass, perennial ryegrass, fine fescue
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed Apr 4 Typical: Mar 22 – Apr 152-inch soil held 55°F for a week from Apr 4, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Mar 22 – Apr 15, 2027.
- Seed or overseed Late · risky Typical: Sep 21 – Oct 30Soil fell below 55°F on Oct 27. Seed sown now germinates slowly and may not survive winter. The hard stop, 4-inch soil under 50°F, typically comes around Nov 12.
- Late-fall feeding Final feeding from about Nov 12 Typical: Nov 12 – Dec 6Not too late. Feed on your normal fall schedule; the last feeding of the year goes down when 4-inch soil falls to about 50°F (typically Nov 12) and before it reaches 40°F (typically Dec 6).
Warm-season: bermudagrass, zoysia, St. Augustine, centipede, bahia
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed Apr 4 Typical: Mar 22 – Apr 152-inch soil held 55°F for a week from Apr 4, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Mar 22 – Apr 15, 2027.
- Seed or sod Wait for late spring Typical: May 15 – Sep 21Warm-season seed needs 4-inch soil at 65°F or more, and seedlings need the rest of summer to establish. Next window opens about May 15.
- Fall pre-emergent (Poa annua) Germinating since Sep 24 Typical: By Sep 204-inch soil fell below 70°F on Sep 24, when annual bluegrass begins to sprout. A pre-emergent now only stops later flushes; plan to apply by about Sep 20 next year.
- Dormancy and last feeding Dormant since about Oct 27 Typical: Around Oct 304-inch soil has stayed under 55°F since Oct 27, so warm-season grass is going brown. It is too late to fertilize; feed again after spring green-up, once soil holds 65°F (typically May 15).
The last 60 days and the week ahead
Frederick soil is 3° warmer than normal for Nov 3, warmer than on 69% of those dates since 2005, and 2° warmer than a year ago.
The green line is our estimate of the daily average soil temperature 2 inches down, driven by temperatures at Hagerstown Regional Airport, 40.6 km from the city center. The dashed part runs the National Weather Service forecast through the same model. Hover or tap for any day.
2-inch soil, estimated From the NWS forecast Normal Normal range (8 years in 10)
Show the numbers
| Date | 2-inch soil | 4-inch soil | Air high / low | Normal (2 in) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | 54° | 57° | 65° / 41° | 56° |
| Oct 22 | 53° | 56° | 66° / 34° | 56° |
| Oct 23 | 53° | 55° | 62° / 42° | 56° |
| Oct 24 | 52° | 54° | 61° / 37° | 55° |
| Oct 25 | 50° | 53° | 61° / 35° | 55° |
| Oct 26 | 51° | 53° | 69° / 37° | 54° |
| Oct 27 | 53° | 54° | 68° / 47° | 54° |
| Oct 28 | 54° | 55° | 65° / 45° | 54° |
| Oct 29 | 55° | 56° | 71° / 44° | 53° |
| Oct 30 | 56° | 57° | 70° / 50° | 53° |
| Oct 31 | 54° | 56° | 59° / 41° | 52° |
| Nov 1 | 53° | 55° | – / – | 51° |
| Nov 2 | 52° | 54° | – / – | 51° |
| Nov 3 | 54° | 55° | 71° / 45° | 51° |
| Nov 4 (forecast) | 58° | 58° | 75° / 61° | 51° |
| Nov 5 (forecast) | 61° | 60° | 74° / 60° | 50° |
| Nov 6 (forecast) | 60° | 60° | 70° / 48° | 50° |
| Nov 7 (forecast) | 57° | 58° | 62° / 39° | 50° |
| Nov 8 (forecast) | 55° | 56° | 60° / 38° | 50° |
| Nov 9 (forecast) | 53° | 55° | 61° / 36° | 50° |
| Nov 10 (forecast) | 52° | 54° | 65° / 38° | 49° |
Which grass grows in Frederick
Frederick winters are cold enough (January averages 33°F) that cool-season grasses, mostly Kentucky bluegrass, tall fescue and perennial ryegrass, make up most lawns. They grow in spring and fall and slow down in summer heat.
Frederick soil through the year
Weekly 2-inch estimates for 2026 so far against 2025 and the normal for each week. The red lines mark 50°F, when crabgrass pre-emergent should be down, and 65°F, when warm-season seed sprouts well.
2026 2025 Normal (2005–2025) 8 years in 10
Normal by month
| Month | 2 in | 4 in | Air |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 36° | 37° | 33° |
| Feb | 37° | 38° | 36° |
| Mar | 44° | 45° | 43° |
| Apr | 54° | 55° | 55° |
| May | 64° | 65° | 64° |
| Jun | 74° | 76° | 73° |
| Jul | 79° | 81° | 78° |
| Aug | 77° | 79° | 75° |
| Sep | 71° | 72° | 68° |
| Oct | 59° | 61° | 57° |
| Nov | 46° | 48° | 46° |
| Dec | 38° | 39° | 37° |
Soil: average of our daily estimates, 2005–2025. Air: NOAA 1991–2020 normals for the station.
Typical lawn dates in Frederick
Each date is when the soil estimate (or the air, for freezes) crossed the threshold, year by year since 2005. “Early” and “late” are the 10th and 90th percentile years, so 8 years in 10 fall between them.
| Event | Typical | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Last spring freeze (32°F) | Apr 6 | Apr 21 |
| Crabgrass model: 250 growing degree days | Feb 27 | Mar 4 |
| Pre-emergent window opens (2-inch soil 50°F) | Mar 22 | Mar 11 |
| Crabgrass begins to sprout (2-inch soil 55°F) | Apr 15 | Apr 4 |
| Cool-season lawns start growing (4-inch soil 55°F) | Apr 13 | Mar 16 |
| Warm-season seeding opens (4-inch soil 65°F) | May 15 | Apr 18 |
| Cool-season seeding opens (4-inch soil under 70°F) | Sep 21 | Sep 25 |
| Cool-season seeding ends (4-inch soil under 55°F) | Oct 30 | Oct 27 |
| Warm-season grass goes dormant (4-inch under 55°F) | Oct 30 | Oct 27 |
| First fall freeze (32°F) | Nov 3 | not yet |
| Roots stop feeding (4-inch soil under 40°F) | Dec 6 | not yet |
Where these numbers come from
There is no soil sensor in most cities, so we estimate it. Shallow soil follows air temperature with a lag of a few days, and runs a little warmer than the air in fall. We fitted that relationship to 190 USDA soil-sensor stations; on years held out of the fit, the estimate was off by 3.3°F on an average day, and it put the spring 55°F date within a median of 3 days. Read the methodology.
Weather: RCC ACIS station KHGR (HAGERSTOWN REGIONAL AIRPORT), daily data since 1998. Forecast: National Weather Service, LWX office, issued Nov 4, 2026, 6:53 AM EST. Last observed day: Nov 3, 2026.
Frederick questions
What is the soil temperature in Frederick today? Our estimate for Nov 3 is 54°F at 2 inches and 55°F at 4 inches, as a daily average. Early-morning soil runs a few degrees cooler than that, and afternoon soil warmer.
When should I put down crabgrass pre-emergent in Frederick? Apply when 2-inch soil holds about 50°F and before it holds 55°F. That has typically been Mar 22 to Apr 15 in Frederick. For 2026 the window closed on Apr 4.
Is it too late to overseed in Frederick? Late · risky. Soil fell below 55°F on Oct 27. Seed sown now germinates slowly and may not survive winter. The hard stop, 4-inch soil under 50°F, typically comes around Nov 12.
Is it too late to fertilize in Frederick? Final feeding from about Nov 12. Not too late. Feed on your normal fall schedule; the last feeding of the year goes down when 4-inch soil falls to about 50°F (typically Nov 12) and before it reaches 40°F (typically Dec 6).
When is the last frost in Frederick? The last 32°F night of spring has typically come around Apr 6, and as late as Apr 17 in 1 year in 10. The first fall freeze typically arrives around Nov 3.
Why 2 inches and 4 inches? Crabgrass and most weed seeds sprout in the top inch or two, so pre-emergent timing follows 2-inch soil. Grass seed and roots respond to the slightly steadier soil at about 4 inches.
How accurate is this? It is a model, not a probe in your yard. Expect about 3–4°F of difference on a given day; shade, slope, mulch and irrigation all move real soil. The dates and trends are more reliable than any single day.