What to do in Burlington now
Burlington is in cool-season grass country. Dates are typical for this spot, worked out from 23 years of weather at Burlington International Airport; each status uses this year's soil estimates.
Cool-season: tall fescue, Kentucky bluegrass, perennial ryegrass, fine fescue
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed May 18 Typical: Apr 24 – May 62-inch soil held 55°F for a week from May 18, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Apr 24 – May 6, 2027.
- Seed or overseed Too late this fall Typical: Sep 5 – Oct 164-inch soil fell below 50°F on Oct 23; new seedlings rarely establish now. Seed next fall from about Sep 5, or dormant-seed once soil is near freezing so seed sprouts in spring.
- Late-fall feeding Last call · about 21 days Typical: Oct 31 – Nov 24Top growth has slowed but roots keep feeding until 4-inch soil cools to about 40°F, typically Nov 24. A final nitrogen feeding now goes to the roots.
Warm-season: bermudagrass, zoysia, St. Augustine, centipede, bahia
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed May 18 Typical: Apr 24 – May 62-inch soil held 55°F for a week from May 18, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Apr 24 – May 6, 2027.
- Seed or sod Wait for late spring Typical: May 29 – Sep 5Warm-season seed needs 4-inch soil at 65°F or more, and seedlings need the rest of summer to establish. Next window opens about May 29.
- Fall pre-emergent (Poa annua) Germinating since Sep 8 Typical: By Aug 314-inch soil fell below 70°F on Sep 8, when annual bluegrass begins to sprout. A pre-emergent now only stops later flushes; plan to apply by about Aug 31 next year.
- Dormancy and last feeding Dormant since about Oct 15 Typical: Around Oct 164-inch soil has stayed under 55°F since Oct 15, so warm-season grass is going brown. It is too late to fertilize; feed again after spring green-up, once soil holds 65°F (typically May 29).
The last 60 days and the week ahead
Burlington soil is 7° warmer than normal for Nov 3, warmer than on 90% of those dates since 2005, and 8° warmer than a year ago.
The green line is our estimate of the daily average soil temperature 2 inches down, driven by temperatures at Burlington International Airport, 7.5 km from the city center. The dashed part runs the National Weather Service forecast through the same model. Hover or tap for any day.
2-inch soil, estimated From the NWS forecast Normal Normal range (8 years in 10)
Show the numbers
| Date | 2-inch soil | 4-inch soil | Air high / low | Normal (2 in) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | 47° | 49° | 58° / 30° | 50° |
| Oct 22 | 45° | 48° | 56° / 29° | 50° |
| Oct 23 | 44° | 46° | 51° / 29° | 50° |
| Oct 24 | 44° | 46° | 58° / 28° | 49° |
| Oct 25 | 44° | 46° | 64° / 29° | 49° |
| Oct 26 | 45° | 47° | 56° / 37° | 48° |
| Oct 27 | 43° | 45° | 46° / 29° | 48° |
| Oct 28 | 42° | 44° | 54° / 26° | 47° |
| Oct 29 | 47° | 48° | 67° / 50° | 47° |
| Oct 30 | 48° | 49° | 58° / 44° | 47° |
| Oct 31 | 46° | 47° | 48° / 34° | 46° |
| Nov 1 | 45° | 46° | 57° / 28° | 46° |
| Nov 2 | 49° | 50° | 68° / 52° | 45° |
| Nov 3 | 52° | 52° | 65° / 51° | 45° |
| Nov 4 (forecast) | 55° | 55° | 71° / 57° | 45° |
| Nov 5 (forecast) | 56° | 56° | 66° / 52° | 44° |
| Nov 6 (forecast) | 56° | 56° | 63° / 46° | 44° |
| Nov 7 (forecast) | 53° | 54° | 53° / 40° | 44° |
| Nov 8 (forecast) | 50° | 52° | 51° / 37° | 44° |
| Nov 9 (forecast) | 47° | 50° | 49° / 34° | 43° |
| Nov 10 (forecast) | 46° | 48° | 52° / 34° | 43° |
Which grass grows in Burlington
Burlington winters are cold enough (January averages 21°F) that cool-season grasses, mostly Kentucky bluegrass, tall fescue and perennial ryegrass, make up most lawns. They grow in spring and fall and slow down in summer heat.
Burlington soil through the year
Weekly 2-inch estimates for 2026 so far against 2025 and the normal for each week. The red lines mark 50°F, when crabgrass pre-emergent should be down, and 65°F, when warm-season seed sprouts well.
2026 2025 Normal (2005–2025) 8 years in 10
Normal by month
| Month | 2 in | 4 in | Air |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 32° | 34° | 21° |
| Feb | 32° | 34° | 23° |
| Mar | 36° | 37° | 32° |
| Apr | 46° | 47° | 46° |
| May | 58° | 60° | 58° |
| Jun | 68° | 70° | 68° |
| Jul | 74° | 76° | 72° |
| Aug | 72° | 74° | 71° |
| Sep | 65° | 67° | 63° |
| Oct | 53° | 55° | 50° |
| Nov | 40° | 42° | 39° |
| Dec | 34° | 35° | 28° |
Soil: average of our daily estimates, 2005–2025. Air: NOAA 1991–2020 normals for the station.
Typical lawn dates in Burlington
Each date is when the soil estimate (or the air, for freezes) crossed the threshold, year by year since 2005. “Early” and “late” are the 10th and 90th percentile years, so 8 years in 10 fall between them.
| Event | Typical | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Last spring freeze (32°F) | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
| Crabgrass model: 250 growing degree days | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| Pre-emergent window opens (2-inch soil 50°F) | Apr 24 | Apr 18 |
| Crabgrass begins to sprout (2-inch soil 55°F) | May 6 | May 18 |
| Cool-season lawns start growing (4-inch soil 55°F) | May 6 | May 5 |
| Warm-season seeding opens (4-inch soil 65°F) | May 29 | Jun 7 |
| Cool-season seeding opens (4-inch soil under 70°F) | Sep 5 | Sep 9 |
| Cool-season seeding ends (4-inch soil under 55°F) | Oct 16 | Oct 15 |
| Warm-season grass goes dormant (4-inch under 55°F) | Oct 16 | Oct 15 |
| First fall freeze (32°F) | Oct 15 | Oct 17 |
| Roots stop feeding (4-inch soil under 40°F) | Nov 24 | not yet |
Checked against a real sensor
Measured nearby: 48°F at 2 inches on Nov 3, at the USDA SCAN site “Mount Mansfield”, 20 miles away.
Our estimate for Burlington on Nov 3 is 52°F. Sensor sites sit in open, unwatered ground outside town, so they often run a few degrees apart from city lawns; use them as a check on the trend.
There is no soil sensor in most cities, so we estimate it. Shallow soil follows air temperature with a lag of a few days, and runs a little warmer than the air in fall. We fitted that relationship to 190 USDA soil-sensor stations; on years held out of the fit, the estimate was off by 3.3°F on an average day, and it put the spring 55°F date within a median of 3 days. Read the methodology.
Weather: RCC ACIS station KBTV (BURLINGTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT), daily data since 1940. Forecast: National Weather Service, BTV office, issued Nov 4, 2026, 1:39 AM EST. Last observed day: Nov 3, 2026.
Burlington questions
What is the soil temperature in Burlington today? Our estimate for Nov 3 is 52°F at 2 inches and 52°F at 4 inches, as a daily average. Early-morning soil runs a few degrees cooler than that, and afternoon soil warmer.
When should I put down crabgrass pre-emergent in Burlington? Apply when 2-inch soil holds about 50°F and before it holds 55°F. That has typically been Apr 24 to May 6 in Burlington. For 2026 the window closed on May 18.
Is it too late to overseed in Burlington? Too late this fall. 4-inch soil fell below 50°F on Oct 23; new seedlings rarely establish now. Seed next fall from about Sep 5, or dormant-seed once soil is near freezing so seed sprouts in spring.
Is it too late to fertilize in Burlington? Last call · about 21 days. Top growth has slowed but roots keep feeding until 4-inch soil cools to about 40°F, typically Nov 24. A final nitrogen feeding now goes to the roots.
When is the last frost in Burlington? The last 32°F night of spring has typically come around Apr 30, and as late as May 13 in 1 year in 10. The first fall freeze typically arrives around Oct 15.
Why 2 inches and 4 inches? Crabgrass and most weed seeds sprout in the top inch or two, so pre-emergent timing follows 2-inch soil. Grass seed and roots respond to the slightly steadier soil at about 4 inches.
How accurate is this? It is a model, not a probe in your yard. Expect about 3–4°F of difference on a given day; shade, slope, mulch and irrigation all move real soil. The dates and trends are more reliable than any single day.