What to do in Midland now
Midland is in the transition zone, where both cool- and warm-season lawns grow. Dates are typical for this spot, worked out from 23 years of weather at Midland International Ap; each status uses this year's soil estimates.
Cool-season: tall fescue, Kentucky bluegrass, perennial ryegrass, fine fescue
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed Feb 15 Typical: Feb 10 – Mar 52-inch soil held 55°F for a week from Feb 15, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Feb 10 – Mar 5, 2027.
- Seed or overseed Seed now · about 19 days left Typical: Oct 18 – Nov 224-inch soil is 67°, inside the 55–70°F range where tall fescue and bluegrass sprout fastest. The window typically closes around Nov 22.
- Late-fall feeding Soil rarely cools to 40°F Typical: Through winterRoots stay active through most winters here. Feed on the fall schedule your extension office gives for your grass, and avoid feeding a lawn that is dormant from drought.
Warm-season: bermudagrass, zoysia, St. Augustine, centipede, bahia
- Crabgrass pre-emergent Closed Feb 15 Typical: Feb 10 – Mar 52-inch soil held 55°F for a week from Feb 15, so crabgrass was sprouting. Next window: about Feb 10 – Mar 5, 2027.
- Seed or sod Wait for late spring Typical: Apr 7 – Oct 18Warm-season seed needs 4-inch soil at 65°F or more, and seedlings need the rest of summer to establish. Next window opens about Apr 7.
- Fall pre-emergent (Poa annua) Germinating since Oct 19 Typical: By Oct 174-inch soil fell below 70°F on Oct 19, when annual bluegrass begins to sprout. A pre-emergent now only stops later flushes; plan to apply by about Oct 17 next year.
- Dormancy and last feeding Expected about Nov 22 Typical: Around Nov 22Warm-season grass slows and browns once 4-inch soil stays under 55°F, typically Nov 22. Make the last nitrogen feeding at least a month before that.
The last 60 days and the week ahead
Midland soil is 6° warmer than normal for Nov 3, warmer than on 88% of those dates since 2005, and 5° warmer than a year ago.
The green line is our estimate of the daily average soil temperature 2 inches down, driven by temperatures at Midland International Ap, 12.4 km from the city center. The dashed part runs the National Weather Service forecast through the same model. Hover or tap for any day.
2-inch soil, estimated From the NWS forecast Normal Normal range (8 years in 10)
Show the numbers
| Date | 2-inch soil | 4-inch soil | Air high / low | Normal (2 in) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | 65° | 67° | 82° / 58° | 66° |
| Oct 22 | 67° | 68° | 82° / 59° | 66° |
| Oct 23 | 68° | 68° | 79° / 60° | 65° |
| Oct 24 | 68° | 69° | 76° / 60° | 65° |
| Oct 25 | 68° | 69° | 73° / 63° | 64° |
| Oct 26 | 67° | 68° | 68° / 62° | 63° |
| Oct 27 | 67° | 68° | 76° / 56° | 62° |
| Oct 28 | 67° | 68° | 77° / 59° | 62° |
| Oct 29 | 67° | 68° | 74° / 59° | 61° |
| Oct 30 | 64° | 66° | 61° / 54° | 60° |
| Oct 31 | 63° | 65° | 68° / 56° | 59° |
| Nov 1 | 65° | 66° | 74° / 63° | 59° |
| Nov 2 | 67° | 68° | 83° / 63° | 59° |
| Nov 3 | 65° | 67° | 71° / 51° | 59° |
| Nov 4 (forecast) | 65° | 66° | 73° / 54° | 60° |
| Nov 5 (forecast) | 63° | 65° | 71° / 46° | 60° |
| Nov 6 (forecast) | 61° | 63° | 65° / 47° | 60° |
| Nov 7 (forecast) | 58° | 61° | 59° / 46° | 60° |
| Nov 8 (forecast) | 57° | 59° | 62° / 45° | 60° |
| Nov 9 (forecast) | 56° | 59° | 65° / 48° | 59° |
| Nov 10 (forecast) | 57° | 59° | 68° / 51° | 58° |
Which grass grows in Midland
With January averaging 46°F, Midland sits in the transition zone. Tall fescue is the common cool-season choice; bermudagrass and zoysia are the common warm-season ones. Use the switch above to see the calendar for yours.
Midland soil through the year
Weekly 2-inch estimates for 2026 so far against 2025 and the normal for each week. The red lines mark 50°F, when crabgrass pre-emergent should be down, and 65°F, when warm-season seed sprouts well.
2026 2025 Normal (2005–2025) 8 years in 10
Normal by month
| Month | 2 in | 4 in | Air |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 44° | 45° | 46° |
| Feb | 48° | 49° | 50° |
| Mar | 57° | 58° | 58° |
| Apr | 66° | 67° | 66° |
| May | 75° | 76° | 75° |
| Jun | 84° | 85° | 83° |
| Jul | 85° | 87° | 84° |
| Aug | 85° | 87° | 83° |
| Sep | 78° | 80° | 76° |
| Oct | 68° | 70° | 67° |
| Nov | 55° | 57° | 54° |
| Dec | 47° | 48° | 46° |
Soil: average of our daily estimates, 2005–2025. Air: NOAA 1991–2020 normals for the station.
Typical lawn dates in Midland
Each date is when the soil estimate (or the air, for freezes) crossed the threshold, year by year since 2005. “Early” and “late” are the 10th and 90th percentile years, so 8 years in 10 fall between them.
| Event | Typical | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Last spring freeze (32°F) | Mar 21 | Mar 17 |
| Crabgrass model: 250 growing degree days | Jan 22 | Jan 12 |
| Pre-emergent window opens (2-inch soil 50°F) | Feb 10 | Feb 9 |
| Crabgrass begins to sprout (2-inch soil 55°F) | Mar 5 | Feb 15 |
| Cool-season lawns start growing (4-inch soil 55°F) | Mar 4 | Feb 14 |
| Warm-season seeding opens (4-inch soil 65°F) | Apr 7 | Mar 4 |
| Cool-season seeding opens (4-inch soil under 70°F) | Oct 18 | Oct 20 |
| Cool-season seeding ends (4-inch soil under 55°F) | Nov 22 | not yet |
| Warm-season grass goes dormant (4-inch under 55°F) | Nov 22 | not yet |
| First fall freeze (32°F) | Nov 12 | not yet |
Where these numbers come from
There is no soil sensor in most cities, so we estimate it. Shallow soil follows air temperature with a lag of a few days, and runs a little warmer than the air in fall. We fitted that relationship to 190 USDA soil-sensor stations; on years held out of the fit, the estimate was off by 3.3°F on an average day, and it put the spring 55°F date within a median of 3 days. Read the methodology.
Weather: RCC ACIS station KMAF (MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AP), daily data since 1930. Forecast: National Weather Service, MAF office, issued Nov 4, 2026, 6:06 AM EST. Last observed day: Nov 3, 2026.
Midland questions
What is the soil temperature in Midland today? Our estimate for Nov 3 is 65°F at 2 inches and 67°F at 4 inches, as a daily average. Early-morning soil runs a few degrees cooler than that, and afternoon soil warmer.
When should I put down crabgrass pre-emergent in Midland? Apply when 2-inch soil holds about 50°F and before it holds 55°F. That has typically been Feb 10 to Mar 5 in Midland. For 2026 the window closed on Feb 15.
When can I seed bermudagrass in Midland? Wait for late spring. Warm-season seed needs 4-inch soil at 65°F or more, and seedlings need the rest of summer to establish. Next window opens about Apr 7.
Is it too late to fertilize in Midland? Expected about Nov 22. Warm-season grass slows and browns once 4-inch soil stays under 55°F, typically Nov 22. Make the last nitrogen feeding at least a month before that.
When is the last frost in Midland? The last 32°F night of spring has typically come around Mar 21, and as late as Apr 8 in 1 year in 10. The first fall freeze typically arrives around Nov 12.
Why 2 inches and 4 inches? Crabgrass and most weed seeds sprout in the top inch or two, so pre-emergent timing follows 2-inch soil. Grass seed and roots respond to the slightly steadier soil at about 4 inches.
How accurate is this? It is a model, not a probe in your yard. Expect about 3–4°F of difference on a given day; shade, slope, mulch and irrigation all move real soil. The dates and trends are more reliable than any single day.